Research Reference
Research, writing, teaching, and coverage in one place, with links to the original sources.
Biography
Ryan Fedasiuk is a Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he writes on the intersection of U.S.-China relations, technology, and national power. He is also an Adjunct Professor in the Security Studies Program at Georgetown University, where he teaches open-source intelligence (OSINT) methods.
From 2022–2024, Fedasiuk was an Advisor for U.S.-China Bilateral Affairs at the U.S. Department of State, where he helped launch the Office of China Coordination and served as the U.S. government’s main point of contact with the Chinese Embassy in Washington. Before that, he was a Senior Research Analyst with the Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET), leading open-source investigations into military applications of AI and U.S. security posture in East Asia.
Fedasiuk’s investigations into U.S. and Chinese technological power have been featured in reporting by The Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, and Associated Press; and his commentary has appeared in POLITICO, Foreign Policy, and War on the Rocks, among other outlets.
Fedasiuk holds an M.A. in Security Studies from Georgetown University, where he also studied Mandarin. He received his B.A. in International Studies and Russian language from American University.
Research areas
U.S. Alliances and Asian Security; Compute and Export Controls; Military Applications of AI; Grand Strategy and Foreign Policy; China’s Science and Technology Ecosystem; U.S.-China Relations; Chinese Politics and the Communist Party; AI and Cybersecurity; Open-Source Intelligence; Reflections on Teaching and Pedagogy.
Publications
Records from the Writing archive. Complete author lists are included where checked against the original publisher; follow each original source for its full publication details.
On the Role of AI in the Classroom
The Looming Closure of China’s AI Frontier
A Loyal Ally Hedges Anyway
China’s Path to Chip Independence
Voltcraft: Industrial Competition in the Age of AI
AI Coordination Without Illusion
The Lithography Loophole: How China Is Printing Its Way to Chip Self-Sufficiency
In the Battle for AI Dominance, Computing Power Is the New High Ground
Practical Advice to Avoid Getting Pwned by AI
China’s AI Is Spreading Fast. Here’s How to Stop the Security Risks
America’s Export Controls Shouldn’t Run on the Honor System
The Arrival of Strong AI
China’s Transition to Scalable Intelligence
American Restraint and Its Limits
In Search of a China Strategy
Atlas Wept: The 2025 National Security Strategy
Five Months to Save the First Island Chain from China
A Proud Superpower Answers to No One
The War for America’s China Policy
The Concert of Stonemasons
Emerging Cracks in the China Tech Consensus
U.S. and Chinese Military AI Purchases
To Defeat Autocracy, Weaponize Transparency
From Maritime Quad to Tech Quintet
Silicon Twist: Managing the Chinese Military’s Access to AI Chips
China’s State Key Laboratory System
How AI Would — and Wouldn’t — Factor Into a U.S.-Chinese War
The U.S. and China Need Ground Rules for AI Dangers
Into the Jungle: Best Practices for Open-Source Researchers
What South Korea’s Election Means for Its Technology Alliance With the United States
A Competitive Era for China’s Universities
Beijing’s Strategic Blueprint is Changing as Tensions Grow
Strengthening the U.S.-ROK Technology Alliance
Harnessed Lightning: How the Chinese Military is Adopting AI
Leviathan Wakes: China’s Growing Fleet of Autonomous Undersea Vehicles
China’s Foreign Technology Wish List
Chinese State Council Budget Tracker
The Price of Internet Censorship in China
Universities and the Chinese Defense Technology Workforce
How China Mobilizes Funding for United Front Work
Chinese Perspectives on AI and Future Military Capabilities
Agile Alliances: How the United States and Its Allies Can Deliver a Democratic Way of AI
Teaching Vibe-Coding
Transitioning from Student to Teacher
Teaching
Press coverage
Third-party reporting that quotes Ryan Fedasiuk or identifies his research. Quotation marks indicate quoted words; research summaries identify the publication and preserve coauthor attribution. A linked article can appear without an excerpt when a suitable preview is unavailable.
An FBI arrest revives fears that U.S. tech companies are hiring spies
On espionage targeting AI companies
Many countries “would want to know about the internal workings and future plans of OpenAI and its competitors,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Australia as an AI Middle Power
On middle powers and AI sovereignty
“Sovereignty means being able to choose your own dependencies rather than having them foisted on you,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
China’s Chip Industry Is On The Rise
On China’s semiconductor production limits
This is indicative of a “long-running strategy to crowd out American competitors and eventually develop alternatives, not just for China’s own AI industry, but to supply as well to the rest of the world,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
AI safety fears stalk Trump-Xi summit agenda
On AI safety in U.S.–China summit talks
Beijing “has its own rationale for wanting to ensure AI doesn’t inadvertently improve the capabilities of would-be terrorists or cyber-criminals,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
AI leaders say U.S. and China need a deal. That probably won’t happen.
On U.S.–China AI diplomacy
“The bottom line is there is no mutual trust,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Future of Air Force’s China Aerospace Studies Institute uncertain
On cuts to China military research
Ryan Fedasiuk called it a “truly incomprehensible decision and a devastating loss for the analytic community.”
Air Force, civilian staff dispute status of China Aerospace Studies Institute
On preserving U.S. expertise on China’s military
Ryan Fedasiuk called the move “a devastating loss for the analytic community” and an “incomprehensible decision.”
AI & Tech Brief: Trump rejects ‘globalist scheme’ on AI
On barriers to AI cooperation
“...you need a tremendous amount of trust between states to share that kind of information,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Gulf states split between rival US and China AI initiatives
On Gulf states navigating rival AI partnerships
“Washington is selling a vision of a full-stack, end-to-end, AI supply chain independent of China,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
The Moonshot Moment
On Kimi K3 and open AI competition
“It doesn’t seem like we can realistically prevent people from using Chinese open-weight models,” Ryan Fedasiuk told The Wire China.
因應AI安全風險 美專家：關鍵在建構防禦又不拖慢創新
On AI security without slowing innovation
“We risk inadvertently creating an opaque licensing system with unclear exemptions” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
The US might lose the AI race to China. Should Americans care?
On AI systems shaping everyday life
The AI race is a contest to define the “operating systems through which people live and work,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
How Chinese AI Models Could Upend Anthropic, OpenAI, and Nvidia
On U.S. compute advantages and Chinese AI competition
“We should be fearful of Huawei replicating that in AI infrastructure” — Ryan Fedasiuk.
With Moonshot’s free Kimi K3, China changes the sovereign AI playbook
On China’s narrowing gap in frontier AI
Rest of World cites Ryan Fedasiuk’s July report finding that Kimi K3 narrowed China’s gap with leading U.S. AI systems from months to weeks.
Nvidia’s China Partners and the PLA
On due diligence for AI chip sales
China Is AI-Maxxing
On Kimi K3 and China’s AI constraints
Kimi’s launch “also illustrated some of the serious structural constraints facing China’s AI industry,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
As China advances in AI, Trump faces a new test in the technology race
On global AI deployment
“The race will really be about deploying frontier capability not building it,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
As US-Chinese AI model gap narrows, what next for Washington?
On Washington’s response to China’s AI gains
“An effective U.S. strategy must hedge against a world where AI is cheap and abundant and uncontrollable in its proliferation” — Ryan Fedasiuk.
Rogue AI escape heightens fears in Canberra over Chinese models
On U.S. restrictions on Chinese AI models
“There are other versions of those kinds of bans working their way through state legislatures that would apply specifically to government functions” — Ryan Fedasiuk.
Why China’s open-weight AI model Kimi K3 is sparking anxiety in Silicon Valley
On China’s advances in open AI models
The South China Morning Post cites Ryan Fedasiuk’s report arguing that Kimi K3 overturned the “conventional wisdom” of a six-to-eight-month Chinese AI lag.
Is China replacing the U.S. as the world’s AI touchpoint thanks to Kimi K3?
On China’s progress in frontier AI
“...the U.S. moat in building frontier AI software is not as durable as many of us had hoped,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
China’s Moonshot unveils world’s largest open AI model, closing in on US rivals
On the computing demands of Kimi K3
UAE’s AI chip ambitions clouded by fears in Washington
On UAE oversight of access to advanced AI chips
“The best thing the UAE can do is police itself...,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
US relaxes export controls on advanced chips and drones for UAE
On technology transfers through the UAE
“…the end result—chips-in-sockets, running American AI workloads—will make the United States more competitive with China, not less,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
GOP embraces speculation about China’s role in data center backlash
On data center opposition and Chinese influence
“It makes sense for Republicans to point out China’s genuine efforts to influence American politics,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
‘They’re politically naive’: The political fight behind Anthropic’s export controls
On export controls for frontier AI models
“It’s not worth sacrificing that position to politically assassinate Anthropic,” Ryan Fedasiuk wrote.
Getting Strict on Chinese Military Companies
On U.S. scrutiny of Chinese military companies
“It signals to allies and partners the Chinese entities that might come under further restriction,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Nvidia’s AI Chips Sought by Chinese Labs With Ties to Military
On Chinese military-linked demand for AI chips
“...not whether the PLA wants to depend on Nvidia, but whether it realistically has any choice in the matter,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Amid data center protests, a billionaire and the Trump administration see a foreign plot
On allegations of Chinese influence
“We also have to get real that China isn’t the reason AI buildouts are unpopular in the United States...,” wrote Ryan Fedasiuk.
U.S. pushes its AI in China and Asia after Trump-Xi meeting
On global deployment of American AI
“There is pressure to distribute American compute globally,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Report Alleges Chinese Influence Behind AI Data Center Pushback in the U.S.
On claims of Chinese influence over AI opposition
Telling Americans “‘Your opinions were paid for by the CCP’ is not a winning political message,” wrote Ryan Fedasiuk.
Trump leaves China after talks dominated by trade, oil and Taiwan
On the outcomes of the Trump–Xi summit
“Frankly, a lot will be left on the tree to ripen further,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
China criticizes US chip equipment bill in run-up to Beijing talks
On chip controls in U.S.–China negotiations
“...Beijing understands its chipmaking industry is extremely vulnerable to American export control,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Jensen Huang Joins Trump on China Trip, Raising Questions About Chip Export Controls
On China’s push for access to U.S. AI chips
“It is in Beijing’s interest to negotiate for greater chip access,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Trump, Xi to huddle in China as AI race heats up
On U.S.–China coordination over AI risks
“The name of the game is coordination, not cooperation,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Quaaludes, Fentanyl and the Battle for China’s Help on Drugs
On the limits of fentanyl interdiction
“We could inspect every vehicle crossing the border and still miss enough fentanyl to kill millions,” wrote Ryan Fedasiuk.
Nvidia’s CEO to Miss China Trip After Year of Travels With Trump
On Nvidia and U.S.–China diplomacy
“There just isn’t much for American chip companies to talk about with the Chinese government.” Ryan Fedasiuk told Bloomberg.
Artificial intelligence revives a cold-war-style dilemma
On obstacles to U.S.–China AI safety cooperation
China’s stated AI safety concerns were meant “to make the Americans look bad,” Ryan Fedasiuk suggested.
Chinese AI satellite intelligence helping Iran target US forces with ‘incredible precision’, analysts say
On Chinese satellite intelligence in the Iran war
“Australian and US soldiers in the Middle East could be killed because of this,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Chinese firms market Iran war intelligence ‘exposing’ U.S. forces
On Chinese commercial satellite intelligence
Ryan Fedasiuk said such firms “will augment China’s defense capabilities and ability to contest U.S. forces in a crisis.”
US must suspend Nvidia AI chip exports to China, senators say
On enforcing AI chip export controls
“There is no reason the most powerful AI hardware on earth should have a less sophisticated chain-of-custody system than a pair of sneakers” — Ryan Fedasiuk.
Scoring the AI Race, a Year after the DeepSeek Shock
On computing constraints in the AI race
“Now the capability is here and so the question is one of markets, of services, and of selling a product,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
US War on Iran Challenges China and ‘Axis of Chaos’ Partners
On China’s partnerships under pressure
“Russia, Iran, and North Korea don’t share interests, institutions, or even genuine trust — they share a common enemy,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Wie Peking die Schlinge um Taiwan immer enger zieht
On China’s military pressure on Taiwan
Süddeutsche Zeitung cites Ryan Fedasiuk’s analysis identifying three goals behind Beijing’s Taiwan exercises, beginning with realistic preparation to seize the island. (Translated from German.)
共軍環台軍演 分析：時機考量引發美國最低限度回應
On the timing of China’s Taiwan military drills
Holding the drills during the U.S. holidays “ensured Washington would struggle to coordinate an immediate reply,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
China aircraft carriers set to outnumber US in Pacific by 2035: analysts
On China’s growing carrier fleet in the Pacific
“...U.S. demand is global, and maintenance cycles constantly reduce what is actually available in the Indo-Pacific,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
China Developing Options to Threaten Taiwan With ‘Brute Force,’ Pentagon Says
On China’s aircraft carrier expansion
China’s navy “intends to operate NINE aircraft carriers by 2035…which would put its carrier fleet just behind that of the United States,” Ryan Fedasiuk wrote on X, as quoted by The Wall Street Journal.
China sees quantum tech as key to future warfare: Pentagon
On China’s projected aircraft carrier expansion
On the nine-carrier projection for 2035: “It is a 50% increase over the often-cited estimate of ‘six’ by that timeframe, which would put its carrier fleet just behind that of the United States,” Ryan Fedasiuk told Nikkei Asia.
特朗普簽《台灣保證實施法案》：對台「制度化」保障，還是對北京的談判籌碼？
On U.S. assurances to Taiwan
“Washington’s actual attitude and actions toward Taiwan over the coming months will be more important than Congress passing a particular bill,” said Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
Trump’s National-Security Strategy Softens Language on China
On the U.S. national security strategy
“Beijing treats every written American commitment as a negotiating floor,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Trump security strategy seeks to block Chinese regional dominance
On U.S. strategic language toward Taiwan
The wording could stabilize China ties “but not quite accede to Beijing’s now well-reported ask that we ‘oppose’ Taiwan independence,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
川普2.0國安戰略報告 專家：正確點出台灣戰略重要
On Taiwan in the U.S. national security strategy
Ryan Fedasiuk described the softer Taiwan wording as “a meaningful downgrade.”
川普簽台灣保證實施法案 分析：時機重於實質內容
On the timing of U.S. Taiwan legislation
“Remaining silent in the face of Chinese coercion is not an option” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
China’s quantum leap will eclipse US aircraft carriers, analysts say
On quantum computing and intelligence risks
A working quantum computer would not be a “magic switch” for disabling U.S. infrastructure, Ryan Fedasiuk cautioned.
Korean diplomats visit Georgia to rebuild strained trust after Hyundai raid
On rebuilding U.S.–South Korea trust
“The U.S. benefits from having Korean technicians helping build that manufacturing capacity in America,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Xi Puts Top US-China Flashpoint Back on Agenda in Trump Call
On U.S. support for Japan amid tensions over Taiwan
“President Trump would be well within his rights to offer his support to Japan as a model ally in Asia” — Ryan Fedasiuk.
While Politicians Fret, Unitree is Selling Robots Across America
On the security risks of Chinese robotics
“Every sale that Unitree makes into the United States will invariably improve China’s industrial and military might…,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Two Tampa men indicted for fencing advanced computer parts to China
On China’s reliance on U.S. chips for AI computing
“The one thing China is missing is computational power,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Why Building an Alternative to Chinese Rare Earths Will Be So Hard
On the challenge of building rare-earth refining capacity
“It’s about processing them and building up to a high purity for the minerals that we do acquire,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
The US Has No China Policy, No Strategy and No Clue
On competing approaches to China policy
Bloomberg Opinion cites Ryan Fedasiuk’s analysis identifying three competing camps over what the United States wants from China.
美中貿易談判 專家：北京鎖定關稅出口管制台灣議題
On Taiwan in U.S.–China negotiations
If Beijing omitted Taiwan from the call, “that would be unusual,” said Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
Trump turns Biden’s TikTok law into a big win
On the proposed TikTok deal
“I’m not sure that concern is really addressed by allowing the licensing of an algorithm that is ultimately developed by ByteDance.”
‘Stargate of China’ plan emerges to challenge US as AI superpower
On China’s AI data center strategy
“China is starting to triage scarce compute for maximum economic output” — Ryan Fedasiuk.
川習通話 美學者：解決美中經濟問題仍是漫漫長路
On the Trump–Xi call and economic disputes
“More work still seems necessary to finalize the agreement” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
Nvidia takes $5 billion stake in Intel
On Nvidia’s investment in Intel
The Intel deal “will obviously do a lot to help Nvidia get in the Trump administration’s good graces,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Nvidia’s CEO Walks an AI Tightrope Between the U.S. and China
On Nvidia’s geopolitical challenges
“It’s proving untenable for the company to attempt to serve so many masters” — Ryan Fedasiuk.
Nvidia to Invest $5 Billion in Intel, Furthering Trump’s Turnaround Plan
On Nvidia’s investment in Intel
Ryan Fedasiuk noted that a firm with “a unique revenue sharing agreement with the U.S. government” was investing in one “partially owned by the U.S. government.”
Trump’s second-term China policies are confusing ‘hawks’ — and Beijing
On the direction of U.S. China policy
“We have a tech and trade strategy of which China is only a part…,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
U.S.-China calls stoke expectations for Trump-Xi meeting
On U.S.–China diplomatic preparations
The calls were “necessary groundwork for a potential leaders’ meeting later this year,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Why China is giving Nvidia the cold shoulder
On the effects of U.S. chip export controls
Trump administration issues plan to limit AI exports to China
On allied coordination and enforcement of AI export controls
“Allied coordination is where the rubber meets the road,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Nvidia says U.S. clears it to sell AI chips to China, reversing ban
On Nvidia’s China sales
“But I think it should be clear to Nvidia that the company is dispensable in China,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
State Department cuts China policy staff amid major overhaul
On State Department staffing cuts
The cuts “are hamstringing American presence in precisely the key battlegrounds of Sino-American competition for influence — Southeast Asia prime among them.”
US Lifts Chip Design Software Curbs on China in Trade Deal
On chip design software controls
“EDA software sales had been one of the few remaining inputs to Huawei’s chip development left untouched,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Did Busy Pizza Shops Really Predict US Airstrikes on Iran?
On the limits of open-source intelligence
“This is a real tactic that could conceivably be used to measure activity near military installations and intelligence facilities,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Trump axes chip export curbs in shift from ideals to interests
On AI export controls and transactional U.S. diplomacy
Comparing Biden’s and Trump’s AI-export approaches, Ryan Fedasiuk said: “Both aim to preserve U.S. primacy.”
Breakdown in U.S.-China Relations Raises Specter of New Cold War
On U.S.–China economic decoupling
“Blacklisting subsidiaries would drastically increase the number of firms subject to U.S. export controls…,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Public DeepSeek AI database exposes API keys and other user data
On privacy and misuse risks in open-weight AI models
“The coming boom of DeepSeek wrappers will each introduce their own privacy risks...,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Biden opens up federal land for AI data centers to stay ahead of China
On governing global access to advanced AI computing
The Biden administration “deserves credit for attempting the impossible,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Why the Salt Typhoon Hack Is Freaking Everyone Out
On the U.S. response to China’s Salt Typhoon cyberattacks
Ryan Fedasiuk expected the attack to “force the administration to reevaluate some of these measures and take a heavier hand.”
China AI military use spurs latest U.S. chip export controls, analysts say
On China’s military AI procurement and U.S. chip controls
“It is clear that the PLA is making AI a central part of its modernization strategy, specifically to contest the United States…” Ryan Fedasiuk told Nikkei Asia.
Trump picks former senator David Perdue for China ambassador
On the U.S. ambassador’s role in managing relations with China
Perdue’s experience “will prove valuable in addressing issues where economic prosperity intersects with national security and human rights,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
How AI is changing warfare
On U.S. and Chinese military AI priorities
The Economist cites a procurement study coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk finding that the U.S. and China are “devoting comparable levels of attention to a similar suite of AI applications.”
US-China competition to field military drone swarms could fuel global arms race
On U.S.–China investment in military drone swarms
Pentagon stares down “drone swarm” threat
On U.S. military investment in drone swarms
Axios cites a report coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk identifying at least five Pentagon contractor deals that explicitly referenced swarming, in procurement records from 2020.
China’s Expanding Influence Operations: Online Propagandists Play the Long Game
On funding for China’s foreign influence operations
Nippon.com cites Ryan Fedasiuk’s 2020 analysis estimating annual spending by major united front organizations at $2.6 billion—more than China’s entire foreign ministry budget.
Soft power billions seek ‘consent’
On China’s spending to expand United Front influence
Ryan Fedasiuk’s research, quoted here, found that “organizations central to China's national and regional united front systems spent more than US$2.6 billion in 2019.”
China, U.S. Test Intelligent-Drone Swarms in Race for Military AI Dominance
On U.S. and Chinese military AI procurement
The Wall Street Journal cites a study coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk finding that intelligent and autonomous vehicles accounted for roughly one-third of known AI-related contracts in both the U.S. and China during an eight-month period in 2020.
The Perils of China’s Great Information Wall
On open-source research into China’s military chip access
TIME references Silicon Twist, coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk, while discussing reports linking China’s data restrictions to research on the PLA’s access to American-designed semiconductors.
To make AI work for national security, invest in humans too
On China’s military adoption of artificial intelligence
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists cites Harnessed Lightning, coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk, Jennifer Melot and Ben Murphy, estimating annual Chinese military AI spending “in the low billions of US dollars.”
China’s Data Crackdown + ChatGPT Crime
On open-source analysis of China’s military chip purchases
ChinaTalk praises Silicon Twist, by Ryan Fedasiuk, Karson Elmgren and Ellen Lu, as a “rigorous data-driven deep dive into Chinese military procurement data.”
U.S. Think Tank Reports Prompted Beijing to Put a Lid on Chinese Data
On China’s response to research on military chip purchases
The Wall Street Journal reports, citing people familiar with the matter, that Silicon Twist—a study coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk on Chinese military access to advanced chips—was among the reports that drew Chinese authorities’ attention.
Naval Intelligence Must Keep Pace with Software Innovation
On the Chinese military's reliance on U.S. technology
From Ryan Fedasiuk’s analysis quoted here: “the overwhelming majority of advanced computer chips at the heart of China’s military AI systems are designed by U.S. firms…”
Who Is Wu Zhe? Scientist Behind China’s Spy Balloon Program
On China’s growing pipeline of scientific talent
Newsweek cites a 2021 CSET report coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk projecting that China’s science and technology community would produce nearly twice as many PhD graduates annually as the U.S. by 2025.
Xi Jinping to remain ‘chairman of everything’ in China after being presented a third term
On China’s STEM talent and technological ambitions
USA Today cites a 2021 study coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk projecting more than three Chinese STEM PhDs per U.S. counterpart by 2025, excluding international students from the U.S. count.
人工智能：中美相互依存的尴尬
On U.S.–China AI ties and the limits of decoupling
“Simply imposing a blanket ban on cooperation or exchanges is very dangerous…” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
中国人头顶上的监控摄像机 老大哥在盯着你
On China’s military AI spending and surveillance technology
“We studied U.S. and Chinese military AI procurement and think they spend roughly the same amount annually…” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
国家安全 ：“境外势力”和中国特色 (上)
On Beijing's national security narratives
“I also think it is convenient to blame social problems on external forces or particular scapegoats…” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
After ‘Critical’ CHIPS Act, More Needed To Build Domestic Production, Experts Say
On rebuilding U.S. semiconductor manufacturing
“Reshoring semiconductor manufacturing is the top concern in the U.S.-China technology relationship, and it's not close,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Do two PhDs make twice the researcher?
On China’s growth in STEM doctoral training
Rubio test-drives a new attack on Demings: She's on TikTok
On TikTok's data access and political influence risks
“…there is the potential to inject narratives of strategic consequence to the CCP…,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Experts see challenges, opportunities for restricting Chinese military access to AI chips
On restricting China’s military access to AI chips
“The thing that I would most emphasize is that this is a resource problem,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Why business is booming for military AI startups
On China’s military investment in artificial intelligence
US Chips Are Paving China’s Path to AI Superiority and There’s No Easy Fix
On U.S. chips in China’s military AI supply chain
Of 97 AI chips identified, Ryan Fedasiuk and coauthors found that “nearly all of them were designed by Nvidia, Xilinx (now AMD), Intel, or Microsemi.”
Online Sleuths Are Using Face Recognition to ID Russian Soldiers
On facial recognition and wartime intelligence
“I’m sure there are Russian analysts tracking Twitter and TikTok with access to similar if not more powerful technology...,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Open Source
On investigating China through open sources
China Matching Pentagon Spending on AI
On Chinese military AI spending and procurement
“It remains to be seen how exactly AI might alter the balance of military power in the Indo-Pacific,” wrote Ryan Fedasiuk, Jennifer Melot and Ben Murphy in the report quoted here.
Biden administration concerned about U.S. investments in Chinese tech companies with military or surveillance ties
On U.S. investment in China’s military AI suppliers
“It’s clear there are large gaps in the U.S. export-control system...,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
China’s SenseTime Postpones IPO After U.S. Blacklisting
On China’s military AI spending
Help Wanted
On China’s STEM graduates and skilled labor needs
Visa Restrictions on Chinese Students Endanger U.S. Innovation Edge, Universities Say
On Chinese STEM students and U.S. visa restrictions
ChinAI #161: IBM Watson Leaves China in Defeat
On mapping China’s military AI procurement
Some suppliers “make a business out of sourcing foreign data or components and reselling them to sanctioned Chinese defense companies or PLA units,” wrote Ryan Fedasiuk, Jennifer Melot, and Ben Murphy in the report quoted here.
Chinese military's AI systems used to wargame Taiwan operations: Report
On China’s military AI systems and Taiwan war games
“We find that China’s military-civil fusion development strategy is paying real dividends,” wrote Ryan Fedasiuk.
Chinese military may have an edge over US on artificial intelligence research, report warns
On China’s military AI investment
House Republicans Call for Tougher Controls to Keep U.S. Tech From China
On Chinese military suppliers and U.S. export controls
America needs a ‘Million Talents Program’ now
On U.S. talent policy and competition with China
Should the US fear rising number of STEM PhDs in China?
On the scale and quality of China’s STEM talent pipeline
STRATCOM Commander Warns Of China-Russia Coordination; Report Details AI Collaboration
On the limits of China–Russia AI cooperation
“Our findings expose gaps between Chinese and Russian aspirations and the reality on the ground…,” concludes the report coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk.
美议员提议重拾冷战旧战略 中国官媒急跳脚
On Chinese-language sources and technology intelligence
“We can get higher-quality information from primary sources rather than reading secondhand English-language analysis…” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
Researchers Say China ‘Fast Outpacing’ U.S. in STEM Ph.Ds.
On China’s expanding STEM doctorate pipeline
“We find that China has consistently produced more STEM doctorates than the United States since the mid-2000s…,” states the 2021 report coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk.
Biden Keeps Costly Trump Visa Policy Denying Chinese Grad Students
On U.S. visa restrictions and Chinese graduate talent
US falling further behind China in STEM PhDs
On China’s expanding STEM doctorate pipeline
“Most of the recent and rapid growth in Chinese PhD enrollments comes from universities within the higher-quality tiers,” found the report coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk.
You Don’t Have to Work for the CIA to Know What China Wants
On China’s diplomatic pursuit of foreign technology
U.S. Universities Fall Further Behind China In Production Of STEM PhDs
On China’s growing lead in STEM doctorate production
China's STEM Ph.D. push
On China’s growing STEM talent pipeline
“[T]he gap in STEM Ph.D. production could undermine U.S. long-term economic and national security,” warns the report coauthored by Ryan Fedasiuk.
Bard College Declared ‘Undesirable’ in Russia
On the value of U.S.–Russia academic exchange
“I think it’s a shame that the program is no longer allowed to operate there,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
Didi cybersecurity probe blindsides shareholders days after debut
On China’s crackdown on Didi and overseas investors
“But this step is an escalation because it is retroactive, effectively punishing investors that participated in a completed IPO,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.
China’s New Power Play: More Control of Tech Companies’ Trove of Data
On Beijing's control of technology companies' data
“Yet another move to strengthen the role of the government and the party vis-à-vis tech companies” — Ryan Fedasiuk.
中国科技外交官：中国获取外国技术的中间人
On China’s diplomats and foreign technology acquisition
“We found that Chinese diplomats help seemingly private Chinese companies obtain foreign technology projects…” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
Myanmar bars Facebook, Twitter in censorship regime
On China’s diplomats and foreign technology acquisition
Army of fake fans boosts China’s messaging on Twitter
On the scale of China’s online influence operations
“五毛”已经out 中国现靠两千多万的“网络志愿者”
On China’s online volunteers and influence campaigns
“I think the term ‘fifty-cent party’ is somewhat outdated…” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
With rising confidence, Xi Jinping wields the internet as a tool of empowerment and control, speeches reveal
On China’s internet controls and global influence
Visa Restrictions May Block One-Fifth of Chinese Graduate STEM Enrollment Annually: Study
On visa restrictions affecting Chinese STEM students
中国窃取西方科技：三种方式 三个反制
On China’s influence networks and technology transfer
“Much of the responsibility for identifying and responding to the CCP’s united front work currently falls on individuals” — Ryan Fedasiuk. (Translated from Chinese.)
The military is calling in AI for support
On AI's role in supporting U.S. military personnel
America Enters the Era of Technopolitik
On allied cooperation in competition with China
Exclusive: 600 U.S. Groups Linked to Chinese Communist Party Influence Effort with Ambition Beyond Election
On funding for China’s United Front influence operations
DOD must pay more attention to building people’s trust in AI, researchers say
On human trust in military AI systems
US Expanding Restrictions on Chinese Students
On Chinese scholarships and U.S. research security
“...the number of programs that the CSC has approved between Chinese universities and elite foreign universities had increased significantly...,” said Ryan Fedasiuk.