About
Ryan Fedasiuk is a Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he writes on the intersection of U.S.-China relations, technology, and national power. He is also an Adjunct Professor in the Security Studies Program at Georgetown University, where he teaches open-source intelligence (OSINT) methods.
From 2022–2024, Fedasiuk was an Advisor for U.S.-China Bilateral Affairs at the U.S. Department of State, where he helped launch the Office of China Coordination and served as the U.S. government’s main point of contact with the Chinese Embassy in Washington. Before that, he was a Senior Research Analyst with the Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET), leading open-source investigations into military applications of AI and U.S. security posture in East Asia.
Fedasiuk’s investigations into U.S. and Chinese technological power have been featured in reporting by The Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, and Associated Press; and his commentary has appeared in POLITICO, Foreign Policy, and War on the Rocks, among other outlets.
Fedasiuk holds an M.A. in Security Studies from Georgetown University, where he also studied Mandarin. He received his B.A. in International Studies and Russian language from American University.
Recent Reports
Writing
U.S. Alliances and Asian Security
Five Months to Save the First Island Chain from China
From Maritime Quad to Tech Quintet
What South Korea’s Election Means for Its Technology Alliance With the United States
Strengthening the U.S.-ROK Technology Alliance
Agile Alliances: How the United States and Its Allies Can Deliver a Democratic Way of AI
Compute and Export Controls
China’s Path to Chip Independence
Voltcraft: Industrial Competition in the Age of AI
The Lithography Loophole: How China Is Printing Its Way to Chip Self-Sufficiency
In the Battle for AI Dominance, Computing Power Is the New High Ground
America’s Export Controls Shouldn’t Run on the Honor System
Silicon Twist: Managing the Chinese Military’s Access to AI Chips
Military Applications of AI
Grand Strategy and Foreign Policy
China’s Science and Technology Ecosystem
U.S.-China Relations
Chinese Politics and the Communist Party
AI and Cybersecurity
Open-Source Intelligence
AI is Changing the Role of the Intelligence Analyst (link not yet supplied)
To Defeat Autocracy, Weaponize Transparency
Into the Jungle: Best Practices for Open-Source Researchers
Reflections on Teaching and Pedagogy
Speaking
Negotiating AI with China
China and the Great AI Race
Win the Strategic Competition
🏁 The Great AI Race as a clash over compute: my interview with analyst Ryan Fedasiuk
China’s Open-Source AI Models Will Push the U.S. to Compete at the Lower End of the Value Chain
China’s Kimi K3 AI Model Raises National Security Concerns
Chinese Open-Source AI and the U.S.–China Race
Should the U.S. Ban Chinese AI Models?
Computing Power in the U.S.–China AI Race
The US-China AI Race (Robert Wright & Ryan Fedasiuk)
AI Regulation and U.S.–China Competition
From Funding to Foundries: How China Builds AI Power
What Does the New National Security Strategy Mean for America’s China Policy?
The Nexus of Economic Security and Technology
The Strategic Competition Between US & China
Made in China: The Legal Battle Over America’s Supply Chains
Can the U.S. and China Collaborate on AI Safety?
Deconstructing China’s Vision for the Future of Warfare
Teaching
Since 2025, Fedasiuk has served as an Adjunct Professor in Georgetown University's Security Studies Program, where he created and teaches SEST-6650: Hands-On Open Source Intelligence ("How to Find Out Stuff They Don’t Want You to Know").
The course introduces students to publicly available data sources, online tools, analytic methods, and landmark case studies across the major intelligence disciplines (including imagery, financial, and signals intelligence) — which are used in a wide range of careers in and outside government.
Among other skills, students learn how to search for patterns in blocks of text, measure objects with an image editor, locate scenes with Google Earth, map relationships with Gephi, identify shell companies with OpenCorporates, query the deepweb and darkweb, scrape websites with Python, and discover networked devices using freely available web services.
Students also learn best practices for research design and project management; online privacy and security; and ethical conduct in pursuit of the truth.
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Press
140 articles across all years
On espionage targeting AI companies
An FBI arrest revives fears that U.S. tech companies are hiring spies
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn middle powers and AI sovereignty
Australia as an AI Middle Power
Read coverage in The DiplomatOn China’s semiconductor production limits
China’s Chip Industry Is On The Rise
Read coverage in The Daily CallerOn AI safety in U.S.–China summit talks
AI safety fears stalk Trump-Xi summit agenda
Read coverage in POLITICOOn U.S.–China AI diplomacy
AI leaders say U.S. and China need a deal. That probably won’t happen.
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn cuts to China military research
Future of Air Force’s China Aerospace Studies Institute uncertain
Read coverage in Federal News NetworkOn preserving U.S. expertise on China’s military
Air Force, civilian staff dispute status of China Aerospace Studies Institute
Read coverage in Air Force TimesOn barriers to AI cooperation
AI & Tech Brief: Trump rejects ‘globalist scheme’ on AI
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn Gulf states navigating rival AI partnerships
Gulf states split between rival US and China AI initiatives
Read coverage in AGBIOn Kimi K3 and open AI competition
The Moonshot Moment
Read coverage in The Wire ChinaOn AI security without slowing innovation
因應AI安全風險 美專家:關鍵在建構防禦又不拖慢創新
Read coverage in Central News Agency (Taiwan)On AI systems shaping everyday life
The US might lose the AI race to China. Should Americans care?
Read coverage in VoxOn U.S. compute advantages and Chinese AI competition
How Chinese AI Models Could Upend Anthropic, OpenAI, and Nvidia
Read coverage in Barron’sOn China’s narrowing gap in frontier AI
With Moonshot’s free Kimi K3, China changes the sovereign AI playbook
Read coverage in Rest of WorldOn due diligence for AI chip sales
Nvidia’s China Partners and the PLA
Read coverage in The Wire ChinaOn Kimi K3 and China’s AI constraints
China Is AI-Maxxing
Read coverage in Foreign PolicyOn global AI deployment
As China advances in AI, Trump faces a new test in the technology race
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn Washington’s response to China’s AI gains
As US-Chinese AI model gap narrows, what next for Washington?
Read coverage in South China Morning PostOn U.S. restrictions on Chinese AI models
Rogue AI escape heightens fears in Canberra over Chinese models
Read coverage in Australian Financial ReviewOn China’s advances in open AI models
Why China’s open-weight AI model Kimi K3 is sparking anxiety in Silicon Valley
Read coverage in South China Morning PostOn China’s progress in frontier AI
Is China replacing the U.S. as the world’s AI touchpoint thanks to Kimi K3?
Read coverage in Fast CompanyOn the computing demands of Kimi K3
China’s Moonshot unveils world’s largest open AI model, closing in on US rivals
Read coverage in ReutersOn UAE oversight of access to advanced AI chips
UAE’s AI chip ambitions clouded by fears in Washington
Read coverage in AGBIOn technology transfers through the UAE
US relaxes export controls on advanced chips and drones for UAE
Read coverage in Financial TimesOn data center opposition and Chinese influence
GOP embraces speculation about China’s role in data center backlash
Read coverage in The HillOn export controls for frontier AI models
‘They’re politically naive’: The political fight behind Anthropic’s export controls
Read coverage in POLITICOOn U.S. scrutiny of Chinese military companies
Getting Strict on Chinese Military Companies
Read coverage in The Wire ChinaOn Chinese military-linked demand for AI chips
Nvidia’s AI Chips Sought by Chinese Labs With Ties to Military
Read coverage in BloombergOn allegations of Chinese influence
Amid data center protests, a billionaire and the Trump administration see a foreign plot
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn global deployment of American AI
U.S. pushes its AI in China and Asia after Trump-Xi meeting
Read coverage in CNBCOn claims of Chinese influence over AI opposition
Report Alleges Chinese Influence Behind AI Data Center Pushback in the U.S.
Read coverage in Domino TheoryOn the outcomes of the Trump–Xi summit
Trump leaves China after talks dominated by trade, oil and Taiwan
Read coverage in CNBCOn chip controls in U.S.–China negotiations
China criticizes US chip equipment bill in run-up to Beijing talks
Read coverage in ReutersOn China’s push for access to U.S. AI chips
Jensen Huang Joins Trump on China Trip, Raising Questions About Chip Export Controls
Read coverage in Domino TheoryOn U.S.–China coordination over AI risks
Trump, Xi to huddle in China as AI race heats up
Read coverage in The HillOn the limits of fentanyl interdiction
Quaaludes, Fentanyl and the Battle for China’s Help on Drugs
Read coverage in Domino TheoryOn Nvidia and U.S.–China diplomacy
Nvidia’s CEO to Miss China Trip After Year of Travels With Trump
Read coverage in BloombergOn obstacles to U.S.–China AI safety cooperation
Artificial intelligence revives a cold-war-style dilemma
Read coverage in The EconomistOn Chinese satellite intelligence in the Iran war
Chinese AI satellite intelligence helping Iran target US forces with ‘incredible precision’, analysts say
Read coverage in ABC News (Australia)On Chinese commercial satellite intelligence
Chinese firms market Iran war intelligence ‘exposing’ U.S. forces
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn enforcing AI chip export controls
US must suspend Nvidia AI chip exports to China, senators say
Read coverage in Financial TimesOn computing constraints in the AI race
Scoring the AI Race, a Year after the DeepSeek Shock
Read coverage in The Wire ChinaOn China’s partnerships under pressure
US War on Iran Challenges China and ‘Axis of Chaos’ Partners
Read coverage in BloombergOn China’s military pressure on Taiwan
Wie Peking die Schlinge um Taiwan immer enger zieht
Read coverage in Süddeutsche ZeitungOn the timing of China’s Taiwan military drills
共軍環台軍演 分析:時機考量引發美國最低限度回應
Read coverage in Central News Agency (Taiwan)On China’s growing carrier fleet in the Pacific
China aircraft carriers set to outnumber US in Pacific by 2035: analysts
Read coverage in Nikkei AsiaOn China’s aircraft carrier expansion
China Developing Options to Threaten Taiwan With ‘Brute Force,’ Pentagon Says
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn China’s projected aircraft carrier expansion
China sees quantum tech as key to future warfare: Pentagon
Read coverage in Nikkei AsiaOn U.S. assurances to Taiwan
特朗普簽《台灣保證實施法案》:對台「制度化」保障,還是對北京的談判籌碼?
Read coverage in BBC News ChineseOn the U.S. national security strategy
Trump’s National-Security Strategy Softens Language on China
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn U.S. strategic language toward Taiwan
Trump security strategy seeks to block Chinese regional dominance
Read coverage in Nikkei AsiaOn Taiwan in the U.S. national security strategy
川普2.0國安戰略報告 專家:正確點出台灣戰略重要
Read coverage in Central News Agency (Taiwan)On the timing of U.S. Taiwan legislation
川普簽台灣保證實施法案 分析:時機重於實質內容
Read coverage in Central News Agency (Taiwan)On quantum computing and intelligence risks
China’s quantum leap will eclipse US aircraft carriers, analysts say
Read coverage in Nikkei AsiaOn rebuilding U.S.–South Korea trust
Korean diplomats visit Georgia to rebuild strained trust after Hyundai raid
Read coverage in The Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionOn U.S. support for Japan amid tensions over Taiwan
Xi Puts Top US-China Flashpoint Back on Agenda in Trump Call
Read coverage in BloombergOn the security risks of Chinese robotics
While Politicians Fret, Unitree is Selling Robots Across America
Read coverage in The Wire ChinaOn China’s reliance on U.S. chips for AI computing
Two Tampa men indicted for fencing advanced computer parts to China
Read coverage in FOX 13 Tampa BayOn the challenge of building rare-earth refining capacity
Why Building an Alternative to Chinese Rare Earths Will Be So Hard
Read coverage in Domino TheoryOn competing approaches to China policy
The US Has No China Policy, No Strategy and No Clue
Read coverage in BloombergOn Taiwan in U.S.–China negotiations
美中貿易談判 專家:北京鎖定關稅出口管制台灣議題
Read coverage in Central News Agency (Taiwan)On the proposed TikTok deal
Trump turns Biden’s TikTok law into a big win
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn China’s AI data center strategy
‘Stargate of China’ plan emerges to challenge US as AI superpower
Read coverage in Financial TimesOn the Trump–Xi call and economic disputes
川習通話 美學者:解決美中經濟問題仍是漫漫長路
Read coverage in Central News Agency (Taiwan)On Nvidia’s investment in Intel
Nvidia takes $5 billion stake in Intel
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn Nvidia’s geopolitical challenges
Nvidia’s CEO Walks an AI Tightrope Between the U.S. and China
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn Nvidia’s investment in Intel
Nvidia to Invest $5 Billion in Intel, Furthering Trump’s Turnaround Plan
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn the direction of U.S. China policy
Trump’s second-term China policies are confusing ‘hawks’ — and Beijing
Read coverage in Washington ExaminerOn U.S.–China diplomatic preparations
U.S.-China calls stoke expectations for Trump-Xi meeting
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn the effects of U.S. chip export controls
Why China is giving Nvidia the cold shoulder
Read coverage in Chinese WhispersOn allied coordination and enforcement of AI export controls
Trump administration issues plan to limit AI exports to China
Read coverage in South China Morning PostOn Nvidia’s China sales
Nvidia says U.S. clears it to sell AI chips to China, reversing ban
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn State Department staffing cuts
State Department cuts China policy staff amid major overhaul
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn chip design software controls
US Lifts Chip Design Software Curbs on China in Trade Deal
Read coverage in BloombergOn the limits of open-source intelligence
Did Busy Pizza Shops Really Predict US Airstrikes on Iran?
Read coverage in WashingtonianOn AI export controls and transactional U.S. diplomacy
Trump axes chip export curbs in shift from ideals to interests
Read coverage in Nikkei AsiaOn U.S.–China economic decoupling
Breakdown in U.S.-China Relations Raises Specter of New Cold War
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn privacy and misuse risks in open-weight AI models
Public DeepSeek AI database exposes API keys and other user data
Read coverage in ZDNETOn governing global access to advanced AI computing
Biden opens up federal land for AI data centers to stay ahead of China
Read coverage in Nikkei AsiaOn the U.S. response to China’s Salt Typhoon cyberattacks
Why the Salt Typhoon Hack Is Freaking Everyone Out
Read coverage in Foreign PolicyOn China’s military AI procurement and U.S. chip controls
China AI military use spurs latest U.S. chip export controls, analysts say
Read coverage in Nikkei AsiaOn the U.S. ambassador’s role in managing relations with China
Trump picks former senator David Perdue for China ambassador
Read coverage in Nikkei AsiaOn U.S. and Chinese military AI priorities
How AI is changing warfare
Read coverage in The EconomistOn U.S.–China investment in military drone swarms
US-China competition to field military drone swarms could fuel global arms race
Read coverage in Associated PressOn U.S. military investment in drone swarms
Pentagon stares down “drone swarm” threat
Read coverage in AxiosOn funding for China’s foreign influence operations
China’s Expanding Influence Operations: Online Propagandists Play the Long Game
Read coverage in Nippon.comOn China’s spending to expand United Front influence
Soft power billions seek ‘consent’
Read coverage in Radio Free AsiaOn U.S. and Chinese military AI procurement
China, U.S. Test Intelligent-Drone Swarms in Race for Military AI Dominance
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn open-source research into China’s military chip access
The Perils of China’s Great Information Wall
Read coverage in TIMEOn China’s military adoption of artificial intelligence
To make AI work for national security, invest in humans too
Read coverage in Bulletin of the Atomic ScientistsOn open-source analysis of China’s military chip purchases
China’s Data Crackdown + ChatGPT Crime
Read coverage in ChinaTalkOn China’s response to research on military chip purchases
U.S. Think Tank Reports Prompted Beijing to Put a Lid on Chinese Data
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn the Chinese military's reliance on U.S. technology
Naval Intelligence Must Keep Pace with Software Innovation
Read coverage in U.S. Naval Institute ProceedingsOn China’s growing pipeline of scientific talent
Who Is Wu Zhe? Scientist Behind China’s Spy Balloon Program
Read coverage in NewsweekOn China’s STEM talent and technological ambitions
Xi Jinping to remain ‘chairman of everything’ in China after being presented a third term
Read coverage in USA TodayOn U.S.–China AI ties and the limits of decoupling
人工智能:中美相互依存的尴尬
Read coverage in Voice of AmericaOn China’s military AI spending and surveillance technology
中国人头顶上的监控摄像机 老大哥在盯着你
Read coverage in Voice of AmericaOn Beijing's national security narratives
国家安全 :“境外势力”和中国特色 (上)
Read coverage in Voice of AmericaOn rebuilding U.S. semiconductor manufacturing
After ‘Critical’ CHIPS Act, More Needed To Build Domestic Production, Experts Say
Read coverage in Defense OneOn China’s growth in STEM doctoral training
Do two PhDs make twice the researcher?
Read coverage in NatureOn TikTok's data access and political influence risks
Rubio test-drives a new attack on Demings: She's on TikTok
Read coverage in NBC NewsOn restricting China’s military access to AI chips
Experts see challenges, opportunities for restricting Chinese military access to AI chips
Read coverage in FedScoopOn China’s military investment in artificial intelligence
Why business is booming for military AI startups
Read coverage in MIT Technology ReviewOn U.S. chips in China’s military AI supply chain
US Chips Are Paving China’s Path to AI Superiority and There’s No Easy Fix
Read coverage in Defense OneOn facial recognition and wartime intelligence
Online Sleuths Are Using Face Recognition to ID Russian Soldiers
Read coverage in WIREDOn investigating China through open sources
Open Source
Read coverage in The Wire ChinaOn Chinese military AI spending and procurement
China Matching Pentagon Spending on AI
Read coverage in National DefenseOn U.S. investment in China’s military AI suppliers
Biden administration concerned about U.S. investments in Chinese tech companies with military or surveillance ties
Read coverage in The Washington PostOn China’s military AI spending
China’s SenseTime Postpones IPO After U.S. Blacklisting
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn China’s STEM graduates and skilled labor needs
Help Wanted
Read coverage in The Wire ChinaOn Chinese STEM students and U.S. visa restrictions
Visa Restrictions on Chinese Students Endanger U.S. Innovation Edge, Universities Say
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn mapping China’s military AI procurement
ChinAI #161: IBM Watson Leaves China in Defeat
Read coverage in ChinAIOn China’s military AI systems and Taiwan war games
Chinese military's AI systems used to wargame Taiwan operations: Report
Read coverage in Taiwan NewsOn China’s military AI investment
Chinese military may have an edge over US on artificial intelligence research, report warns
Read coverage in South China Morning PostOn Chinese military suppliers and U.S. export controls
House Republicans Call for Tougher Controls to Keep U.S. Tech From China
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn U.S. talent policy and competition with China
America needs a ‘Million Talents Program’ now
Read coverage in The HillOn the scale and quality of China’s STEM talent pipeline
Should the US fear rising number of STEM PhDs in China?
Read coverage in University World NewsOn the limits of China–Russia AI cooperation
STRATCOM Commander Warns Of China-Russia Coordination; Report Details AI Collaboration
Read coverage in Breaking DefenseOn Chinese-language sources and technology intelligence
美议员提议重拾冷战旧战略 中国官媒急跳脚
Read coverage in Radio Free AsiaOn China’s expanding STEM doctorate pipeline
Researchers Say China ‘Fast Outpacing’ U.S. in STEM Ph.Ds.
Read coverage in Inside Higher EdOn U.S. visa restrictions and Chinese graduate talent
Biden Keeps Costly Trump Visa Policy Denying Chinese Grad Students
Read coverage in ForbesOn China’s expanding STEM doctorate pipeline
US falling further behind China in STEM PhDs
Read coverage in Asia TimesOn China’s diplomatic pursuit of foreign technology
You Don’t Have to Work for the CIA to Know What China Wants
Read coverage in ClearanceJobsOn China’s growing lead in STEM doctorate production
U.S. Universities Fall Further Behind China In Production Of STEM PhDs
Read coverage in ForbesOn China’s growing STEM talent pipeline
China's STEM Ph.D. push
Read coverage in AxiosOn the value of U.S.–Russia academic exchange
Bard College Declared ‘Undesirable’ in Russia
Read coverage in Inside Higher EdOn China’s crackdown on Didi and overseas investors
Didi cybersecurity probe blindsides shareholders days after debut
Read coverage in ReutersOn Beijing's control of technology companies' data
China’s New Power Play: More Control of Tech Companies’ Trove of Data
Read coverage in The Wall Street JournalOn China’s diplomats and foreign technology acquisition
中国科技外交官:中国获取外国技术的中间人
Read coverage in Voice of AmericaOn China’s diplomats and foreign technology acquisition
Myanmar bars Facebook, Twitter in censorship regime
Read coverage in Financial TimesOn the scale of China’s online influence operations
Army of fake fans boosts China’s messaging on Twitter
Read coverage in Associated PressOn China’s online volunteers and influence campaigns
“五毛”已经out 中国现靠两千多万的“网络志愿者”
Read coverage in Radio Free AsiaOn China’s internet controls and global influence
With rising confidence, Xi Jinping wields the internet as a tool of empowerment and control, speeches reveal
Read coverage in South China Morning PostOn visa restrictions affecting Chinese STEM students
Visa Restrictions May Block One-Fifth of Chinese Graduate STEM Enrollment Annually: Study
Read coverage in The College PostOn China’s influence networks and technology transfer
中国窃取西方科技:三种方式 三个反制
Read coverage in Radio Free AsiaOn AI's role in supporting U.S. military personnel
The military is calling in AI for support
Read coverage in AxiosOn allied cooperation in competition with China
America Enters the Era of Technopolitik
Read coverage in BloombergOn funding for China’s United Front influence operations
Exclusive: 600 U.S. Groups Linked to Chinese Communist Party Influence Effort with Ambition Beyond Election
Read coverage in NewsweekOn human trust in military AI systems
DOD must pay more attention to building people’s trust in AI, researchers say
Read coverage in FedScoopOn Chinese scholarships and U.S. research security
US Expanding Restrictions on Chinese Students
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As Seen on X
26 posts across all years
On the Role of AI in the Classroom
Open post on X
On Anthropic’s 2026 AI Risk Report
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On Pacing the Frontier
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On the WeWorm Exploit
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On What It Means to Be a "China Hawk"
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A China Hawk’s Case for Studying in China
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On the OpenAI–Hugging Face Incident
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On the 2026 National Security Science & Technology Strategy
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On the Growing Divergence Between “Big” and “Little” Tech
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On the Release of Kimi K3
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On Chip Sales to the UAE
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On the Messy Politics of H200 Sales to China
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On Mythos and the Future of China’s AI Governance
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On the Rise of China’s Export Control System
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On Sino-Iranian Intelligence Cooperation
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On Moonshot’s First Personal Agent
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Technical Analysis for the Very Online
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On the Need for Geopolitical Analysts to Get “Technical”
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On the December 2025 PLA Exercises Around Taiwan
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On the 2025 China Military Power Report
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On Seeing the CCP Up Close
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On Nvidia’s Chip Sales to the Chinese Military
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On Working at the State Department and Great-Power Diplomacy
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On Teaching at Georgetown
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Marking 2 Years at the State Department
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On U.S. Government Jargon
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No posts match these filters. Try another year or search term.